Saturday 30 May 2009

Example of a "failed W etc....."



The original W on RSI was on a timescale that is no longer available in the stored data but the 15 min chart on Price does show the basic ideas.

The S/L was below the W at 4440, with a B/E of around 4456.

The W formed on RSI, Price and delivered a good profit. Then it reversed with three possible outcomes:

My split trades were both stopped out in profit.
An alternative was leaving one at B/E but that would have been hit.
The more aggressive alternative was to leave one at the original S/L - hoping it's something to do with EWT waves are there is no overlap.....

Any surviving trade then went on to deliver a further oportunity to take the money.

Then we get confirmation of the support level but the next move up it not as big as before. Followers of the 1-2-3 system will recognise this as a wide, big M over many candles.

The combination of the formation of their 1-2-3 M on Price and the failure of my original W on RSI was just too good to miss.

If it gives, ride the wave....., if it doesn't, then get out for as little as possible and wait for the next one. I believe that you can't thrive unless you survive!

cheers theory

2 comments:

  1. Great theory Theory. Have been reading this all morning. Looks like an absolute winning approach.

    Cheddar

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  2. Evening Cheddar,
    Past performance etc... warning!
    The aim is to set up trades that have a high probability of returning a good reward for as small a risk as possible - filter out, filter out, filter out.

    If in doubt, stay out.

    If it doesn't look promising, phase out - high probability does not mean certainty.

    If it delivers .....

    cheers theory

    ReplyDelete